George Allen Should Easily Defeat James Webb

Wednesday, June 14, 2006
Former Republican James Webb was Ronald Reagan’s Secretary of the Navy. The man is also a distinguished Viet Nam war hero. Should Republican incumbent Senator George Allen be worried? The answer: hell no! Webb is the darling of the anti-Iraq war leftists. He will also pick up a few votes from independents and more moderate Democrats. Still, Webb will be unable to keep from angering the hard core Democratic base. He is damned if does, and damned if he doesn't. Senator Allen merely needs to keep Webb on the defensive regarding Iraq and the war on terrorism. His challenger must repeatedly be asked the hard questions. Anything Webb says will almost certainly get him into trouble. Allen doesn't have to mealy mouth. Webb, on the other hand, has no other choice. Voters don't like indecisive politicians. Senator Allen should be reelected in November by at least a ten percentage victory margin.

8 comments:

terrye said...

Why is it that Democrats keep thinking that "war hero" turned anti war activist will work for them? It did not work with McGovern or Kerry and unless Allen gets caught in the hay with an underage intern it will not help them in this case.

David Thomson said...

On top of that, Senator George Allen may have something like $10,000,000 in his bank account. James Webb apparently has a mere $600,000. I don’t see him raising anywhere near the money necessary to make this campaign interesting. He is antiwar candidate who is not running in a blue state area like San Francisco. Purple and red state voters might have some misgivings regarding Iraq---but they still do not want our troops defeated on the battle field.

reliapundit said...

the msm is worth 15%. dem voter fraud anither 5%.

that gives the doves a headstart in EVERY race.

meaning: webb can win.

i think it depends LESS and george allen than george bush and mostly on iraq, gas prices, the NYSE/DJI&unemployment #'s.

terrye said...

Yeah, those gas prices are a problem, but I don't know what the hell anyone could do about it. I think if Bush could get them down he would, for his own sake.

David Thomson said...

“i think it depends LESS and george allen than george bush and mostly on iraq, gas prices, the NYSE/DJI&unemployment #'s.”

Nope, Iraq and the war on terror will dominate the U.S. senatorial contest in Virginia. This is not a race for the governor’s mansion. James Webb is running primarily on his antiwar stance. He won’t be able to successfully hop to other issues. And every time he opens his mouth---either the purple state voters or the blue ones will be irritated. The man is in a no-win situation. Only George Allen can enunciate a clear position.

JB said...

Also, if Glenn Reynolds thinks James Webb is "bad news" for George Allen, you can be assured George Allen will win.

JB said...

reliapundit: incumbency is worth 10 points. On the positive note, a Kerry endorsement of Webb oughta be worth 10 points to Allen on its own.

Fresh Air said...

Almost never does an incumbent senator lose in the absence of a scandal. I can only think of a handful in recent memory: Tom Daschle, Max Cleland, Lowell Weicker, Chuck Percy.

It simply doesn't happen. Moreover, to the extent it has happened recently, it is predominately in what I'll call Red/Blue dichotomy states, where the incumbent is with the party that received a minority in the last presidential race.

Allen is not in this situation. Also, he has done an excellent job as senator, doesn't fumble and is widely liked for his term as governor. I don't see it as being all that close, frankly.