Is Hezbollah Able to Rearm?

Monday, August 28, 2006
The jury is still out regarding who ultimately won the recent struggle in Lebanon. At this moment, it appears that Israel inflicted massive damage on the terrorist organization. But this is the real question of the day: is Hezbollah able to rearm? Are Iran and Syrian still sending the terrorists large shipments of military supplies? If so, Israel is the clear loser. I just cannot seem to find any substantial information on this most important point. Does anybody know?

7 comments:

terrye said...

David:

I do not know but I will say this if what happened to southern Lebanon is the fate of a winner I am not sure I want to be one.

I do think that if Hezbellah starts to rearm the Israelis will be able to go back in and there won't be much anyone, including the Arab states have to say about it.

corndog said...

I think it matters less than we might imagine, whether or not Hizbollah is able to re-arm.

The Lebanese people, who were used as propaganda tools and bomb bait by Hizbollah, know that they were so used, and are not happy about it.

My evidence? Nasrallah was forced to announce yesterday that had he known the Israelis would fight back, he wouldn't have taken the hostages. This is a conciliation to the desires of the Lebanese people to not have their country JUSTIFIABLY ravaged again. Hizbollah depends on the acquiescence of the populations in Southern Lebanon to lob their rockets. The party's over, and this is why Nasrallah is backtracking.

David Thomson said...

“I do think that if Hezbellah starts to rearm the Israelis will be able to go back in...”

Everything revolves around Hezbollah’s ability to rearm. This is nonnegotiable. The terrorist organization has been effectively destroyed if Iran and Syria can no longer send the terrorists large shipments of weapons. Israel must not hesitate for a moment to restart military operations if the borders are not secured.

David Thomson said...

“The Lebanese people, who were used as propaganda tools and bomb bait by Hizbollah, know that they were so used, and are not happy about it.”

But can the Lebanese people do anything about it? It seems to me that Hezbollah intimidates the wider population. Does Lebanon’s military dare oppose Hezbollah?

terrye said...

david:

The only way you can be absolutely sure that Hezbellah is not able to rearm is to take out the armers. When this little dustup started Israel said they wanted Hezbellah off the obrder, they never said they were going to disarm all of Hezbellah. I do think that the Israelis have every right to demand the resolutions be enforced, but that was not their intent in the war. They could turn Lebanon into a parking lot and not disarm all of Hezbellah.

And over time the Lebanese can do something about it, it is important the states understand the cost of harboring and supporting these kinds of groups.

lurker said...

Not on their own.

It may be a very quiet way of making it happen, especially when the Lebanon people begin to divert their anger and hatred towards Hezbollah as they understand that Hezbollah is really the one that brought this war to their country and without their permission and endorsement.

As Hezbollah loses its respect and reputation over time, the weaker Hezbollah gets. As the Syrian - Lebanon borders seals up, the weaker Hezbollah becomes.

I am glad Israel refuses to lift the blockade just yet. I am glad that Israel gave Kofi a response that all borders must be sealed up to prevent the re-arming of Hezbollah. This forces Kofi to honor one more step of 1701.

Hate to say this but securing of the borders at this point is more important than the release of those two Israeli soldiers. But I hope Hezbollah does not demand a trade, especially an uneven trade.

Syl said...

Hezbollah is a social services organization and that's why they are supported.

The only way this will work out is to convince the Lebanese shia that social services do not depend on missiles.

And that just got easier because the thinking was that Hezbollah being armed protected them from the great Opressor, Israel.

Well, do they see how well that turned out?

That's the crux here.