Tony Blankley's Warning to "The Stupid Party" Conservatives

Wednesday, October 18, 2006
I strongly urge everyone to read Tony Blankley’s comments:

“Moreover, every Democrat who beats a Republican in three weeks will have two years to feather his or her nest, and use the powers of incumbency to defeat his 2008 Republican challenger.

Even more important, in a closely fought 2008 presidential election, every extra Democratic incumbent senator, congressman and governor makes it just a little more likely that the Democratic presidential candidate may win that district or state. All those freshly tuned new Democratic machines will help get out Democratic Party votes for the top of their 2008 ticket.

This current conservative petulance -- if it actually occurs on Nov. 7 -- will increase the chances of electing Hillary, or worse (if such a thing is possible) in 2008.

There is no rational policy or political basis for conservatives not voting. I'm not sure the country can take the current Democratic mob in power for long.

A realist once observed that the history of mankind is little more than the triumph of the heartless over the mindless.

The Democrats are obviously heartless. Conservatives must guard against falling into the category of the mindless. Ignore your heartfelt peevements, use your brains and vote.”


John Lynch said...

I'm getting tired of this tripe.

How the h..l do they know that I, a conservative, am "reluctant”, “recalcitrant”, or any other d..n thing??!

When I am polled, by telephone, I hang up like any good conservative.

All the polling data I have looked at shows significant over-sampling (8 to 15% points) of democrats or Kerry voters.

Ignore the polls, ignore the MSM, ignore the inside the beltway pundits, and lately ignore the pundits that ought to know better as well.

Pay attention to GOTV efforts and vote. I'll bet reality is significantly different from what the pollsters and their willing and duplicitous partners in misinformation are pushing.

Of course it will all add to the conspiracy theorists after the actual results come out 8 to 15% higher Republican than Democrat. That swing is more than enough to change the B.S. forecast that are being made now.

David Thomson said...

"Pay attention to GOTV efforts and vote."

This is what I'm counting on. I am still confident that the GOP will retain control of both house of Congress.

By the way, Rush Limbaugh mentioned the Tony Blankley article on today's program. He must be reading my mind.

Fresh Air said...

John Lynch--

Exactly. As Jay Cost has pointed out, most people just don't know enough about the House to make predictions, so they use bogus generic candidate polls as proxies for voter sentiment. I really can't say what's going to happen there.

But I have done quite a bit of research into Senate races, and I can offer a couple of pearls that the media evidently does not possess.

First, it is very rare for an INCUMBENT senator to lose. This fact is evidently lost on the MSM. The only factor that routinely changes this dynamic is a scandal. Most of those predicting Talent and DeWine to lose are ignorant.

However, I believe there is a new thesis emerging I call the red/blue dichotomy. In this, senators who do not reflect their state's presidential leanings are in jeopardy and vice-versa. This situation is magnified when there are TWO senators (as there are in Pennsylvania) that are members of the party that was not voted for in the last presidential election.

Thus the GOP missed golden opportunities to pick up seats in red Nebraska and red Florida. The only seat available this cycle for the Mediacrats is the one held by Santorum. I believe he is at serious risk because of this dynamic.

Likewise, I believe Talent and DeWine are safe, and that Kennedy and Steele, while attractive candidates, are not likely to pull off upsets. Keane, however, will win in New Jersey because of the continuing, real scandals surrounding Menendez.

Chafee would normally be prey in this situation, too. But he is a special case, as he is a quite obvious and noisy RINO well-known to the voters. I suspect he will win.

I would suggest people keep their eyes on Michigan. This is really a red state with a vast pool of voter fraud on the right hand side. Since it already has two Mediacrat senators, IMHO, it is ripe for the picking.

This is all high-level speculation, of course. But it's a lot better than rigged polling and wishful thinking from the MSM.