In the fall, Rick Santorum was counted as a goner - Bob Casey had a very strong lead of over 11% and Santorum's numbers had slipped well below the 50% point which indicates danger for an incumbent. It's spring now though, and the most recent polls indicate signs of intelleigent life in Pennsylvania. Santorum maintains a two to one cash on hand edge over Casey and Casey's pro-life stand has made him persona non grata to quite a number of Democratic fund raisers.
The poll also highlighted the current schizophrenia afflicting those who respond to polls - 53% are in favor of 'throwing the bums out' while 50% say 'but not my bum'. That number is a little low historically, usually my bum draws 55% or so.
A sign of impending change? Yes - if the percentages hold up through Labor Day. And Labor Day is only 120 days away - what could change?
And don't forget the power of Swann. I think Santorum will pull it off.(Rumor is Rendell doesn't care for Casey and won't do much to help him.)
ReplyDeleteI don't think much will change in Indiana because it is Indiana. The land that time forgot.
ReplyDeletePeter:
ReplyDeleteLong time no see.
Rendell beat Casey for the Democrat nomination for Governor four years ago. A significant victory, that.
ReplyDelete