### Exit Polls

Tuesday, November 07, 2006
I wanted to get another prediction in, if only for honesty's sake.

The exit polls are looking fairly bad for the (R) side right now, however, unless the exit pollers have considerably improved their methodology the exit polls will still have about a 5 percent systematic error to the (D) side.

If so, here's what the numbers look like (using numbers from The Corner):

Virginia (52-47) prediction very close*
Rhode Island (53-46) prediction (R) (!!)
Pennsylvania (57-42) prediction (D)
Ohio (57-43) prediction (D)
New Jersey (52-45) prediction very close (!!)
Montana (53-46) prediction (R)
Missouri (50-48) prediction (R)
Maryland (53-46) prediction very close ---

but I think it will be a clear (R); remember this is all based on someone's model of the overall election. If the African-Americans go just a little bit more (R), this might turn.