Prediction

Saturday, November 04, 2006
I'm not ambitious enough (at least at this moment) to work up specific predictions, but I think I've got a general rule that I want to announce and thereby test:

I predict that on average the vote for Republicans in tight races will be around 5 percent greater than the polls predict.

From this prediction, it follows that the (R) side will keep both houses.

4 comments:

Rick Ballard said...

Here's a chart which might make a race by race breakdown easier for you. A lot of the +5 polls are pure garbage but if they weren't your prognostication would have problems. He's showing 21 races at +5 or worse with only 3 Dem seats in play.

JB said...

My overlord Karl Rove is on record predicting GOP keeps both houses.

That's good enough for me.

CF said...

Rove and Seneca..I can sleep easy.

Go to Publius Pundit--MILLIONS of peole are marching against Chavez today. Great pics.

terrye said...

From your keyboard to God's ears..

I mean Buddha's.

no offence.