I'm not ambitious enough (at least at this moment) to work up specific predictions, but I think I've got a general rule that I want to announce and thereby test:
I predict that on average the vote for Republicans in tight races will be around 5 percent greater than the polls predict.
From this prediction, it follows that the (R) side will keep both houses.
3 comments:
Here's a chart which might make a race by race breakdown easier for you. A lot of the +5 polls are pure garbage but if they weren't your prognostication would have problems. He's showing 21 races at +5 or worse with only 3 Dem seats in play.
Rove and Seneca..I can sleep easy.
Go to Publius Pundit--MILLIONS of peole are marching against Chavez today. Great pics.
From your keyboard to God's ears..
I mean Buddha's.
no offence.
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