Today's Quinnipiac poll gives Lieberman a 53/41 lead among likely voters. IMO, Quinnipiac is a dogs breakfast of a polling outfit, it was their polling of "breathing over 18's" that induced the clueless Lamont that he was riding the wave of the future. Their emphasis on the strength of Lieberman's support among Republicans in this report is also another example of hiding the ball in a press report, the 58/36 split among independents is much more important. Independents in Connecticut regularly split tickets, that's why the state has a Republican governor and three out of five House seats. If there was a single state to be picked where an independent had a chance to win, Connecticut would be at the top of the list.
The Quinnipiac poll does reinforce other findings showing similar if not quite so stark results. Rasmussen had Lieberman up five a few days ago, with both candidates polling under 50%. It will be interesting to see if Rasmussen's next poll shows the type of increase in Lieberman support that is apparent in the Quinnipiac poll. I would guess not but I would be unsurprised to see the current five point lead double to ten.
This poll will also give Lieberman help in raising money. Neddy better be prepared to part with a lot more of his personal stash and even if he does, it's extremely unlikely that money alone will do the trick. I've been impressed by the sheer stupidity of the Kosola Kidz Krewe to date but their backing of Lamont the Lame needs to be examined in a class by itself. If Lieberman has the backbone to see this through to the end then all three Republican House seats in Connecticut can be moved to the 'safe' column.
Ten Minutes To Tokyo
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