Today's Quinnipiac poll gives Lieberman a 53/41 lead among likely voters. IMO, Quinnipiac is a dogs breakfast of a polling outfit, it was their polling of "breathing over 18's" that induced the clueless Lamont that he was riding the wave of the future. Their emphasis on the strength of Lieberman's support among Republicans in this report is also another example of hiding the ball in a press report, the 58/36 split among independents is much more important. Independents in Connecticut regularly split tickets, that's why the state has a Republican governor and three out of five House seats. If there was a single state to be picked where an independent had a chance to win, Connecticut would be at the top of the list.
The Quinnipiac poll does reinforce other findings showing similar if not quite so stark results. Rasmussen had Lieberman up five a few days ago, with both candidates polling under 50%. It will be interesting to see if Rasmussen's next poll shows the type of increase in Lieberman support that is apparent in the Quinnipiac poll. I would guess not but I would be unsurprised to see the current five point lead double to ten.
This poll will also give Lieberman help in raising money. Neddy better be prepared to part with a lot more of his personal stash and even if he does, it's extremely unlikely that money alone will do the trick. I've been impressed by the sheer stupidity of the Kosola Kidz Krewe to date but their backing of Lamont the Lame needs to be examined in a class by itself. If Lieberman has the backbone to see this through to the end then all three Republican House seats in Connecticut can be moved to the 'safe' column.
3 comments:
I hope Lamont makes a lot more off the cuff policy statements before the election.I always find the exposure to the light of day of the thoughts of bien pensants like Lamont and Kerry good for the public weal.
DT,
As long as Neddy's checks cash he is Kos's best friend.
Wrt "other parts of the country", the guy who gets the most help from this is Burns in MT - his opponent was the other "Kos success" and Burn's campaign manager should be linking Tester to Lamont as we speak. Aside from that, this will have a marginal impact unless there are terror strikes.
This mid-term really isn't any different than any other mid-term.
Everybody says the Republicans are going to lose big in November. Maybe they will. But I am not so sure about that. The Democrats need to offer a viable alternative and so far all they do is bitch and threaten and promise investigations. moan. Who wants two years of that crap?
People are just tired of the war and high gas prices. That does not mean they want to run away. It means they want some good news and they are disappointed that Bush hasn't given them enough of it.
In fact I think the war in Israel was making people nervous. War is all they see and hear about. Or so they think.
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