Seneca has made very cogent arguments concerning commentary (including mine) ridiculing Olmert's one foot on the boat, one foot on the dock indecisiveness in conducting what is, after all, his war. The IDF has made public the fact that they had a jim-dandy plan for a decisive attack which would have accomplished a greater level of degradation of hezzie abilities in less time than it took Olmert to gauge initial reaction to his stumble out of the gate. If Olmert's vivid portrayal of Hamlet is a ruse, then he deserves both an Oscar and a Tony for his performance. He has thoroughly convinced me that a peek in his closet at home would reveal a row of identical brown suits, for if there were any choice to be made he would never be able to get dressed, let alone leave the house.
If it is a ruse, what does it cover? Do the Israeli's believe that Ahmanutter is planning to keep his promise on the 22nd with something tucked away up in the Bekaa? The Israeli's were surprised (or have feigned surprise) regarding the missile attack on their ship and about the existence of several types of longer range missiles that were not generally thought to be in the hezzies hands. The recent news concerning Iranian's being found among the hezzies killed is not surprising but it does suggest a high level of interest on Iran's part in maintaining solidarity with the hezzies. If Iran intends to launch from the Bekaa then having a well dug in blocking force in southern Lebanon makes good sense. If Israeli armor could be slowed down in reaching the Bekaa then Ahmanutter would be able to put on a show that could last for a bit. It's true that Israel has total dominance of the air space but if the launch sites are well hidden, that dominance will not stop rocket launches from the Bekaa any more effectively than they do from southern Lebanon.
Israel continues to ferry troops up to the Litani via helicopter even as the Israeli government leaks that 7AM Monday will be the hour and date certain for cessation of offensive activity. The move makes no tactical sense in a situation where all the hezzies have to do is hunker down to wait for the arrival of their UNIFIL allies. As long as they don't shoot, they are at least theoretically safe. It does make sense if the effort was taken in order to ensure fresh troops on the ground a third of the way to the Bekaa. Bringing the troop carriers up empty from Israel has some definite advantages - as does bringing up the Merkavas seemingly haphazardly.
There are other conjectural scenarios to explain Olmert's actions but dropping troops at the Litani with the idea that they will sweep up all the hezzies as they pull back to Israel is just silly. The hezzie rabbits have only to sit snug in their burrows in order to be safe until UNIFIL help arrives.
So, is Olmert Sir Laurence Olivier giving an outstanding performance of Hamlet or did Shakespeare have foreknowledge of Olmert in developing the charactor?
THEY BELIEVE ANYTHING
35 minutes ago