A Chequer-Board of Nights and Days :: "Apart from Ned Lamont, the big winner tonight was John McCain. Although he is more of a conservative than people give him credit for, his maverick personality and high-profile forays towards the land of political moderation will allow him to crowd the center in his Presidential run should he win the Republican nomination. At the same time, if Lieberman Democrats find themselves drummed out of their own party, they will gravitate towards McCain. Meanwhile, if conservatives and right-of-center libertarians who believe in American engagement in international affairs see the Democratic Party drift towards the Left, they won't care about their past serious disagreements with McCain over various issues and will latch on to his candidacy as the only way to keep the Republic safe from what they perceive as the deleterious foreign policy platform of the Lamont crowd.
Basically, this whole dynamic resembles nothing more than the ostracism suffered by the Scoop Jackson Democrats in the 1970's. That ostracism brought about the Reagan Democrats and the leader who lent his name to their demographic. A victory by Senator Lieberman as an Independent in the general election will do little to stop this dynamic from playing itself out. At the end of the day, movement Democrats have told the Lieberman Democrats that the latter are no longer welcome at the table."
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