Since this is one of the terms of the cease-fire, that pretty much means the bluff has been called.
Update 0941: An Israeli source told Fox News that "cease offensive operations" means "stop trying to go further north."
- expect it to take a long time to get UNIFIL reinforced.
- don't expect fighting to stop, or even slow down much.
- expect Bush to get the blame.
Update 1048: From Captain's Quarters:
Does anyone not believe that this crisis has been precipitated by Hezbollah's refusal to leave southern Lebanon and disarm? The cease-fire proposal put the onus on them to cease their attacks on Israel and to dismantle their military wing. I warned earlier that such a requirement would eliminate the need for Hezbollah at all; their entire raison d'etre for the Lebanese people has been as a shield against the Israelis. If the Lebanese Army took that function away from them, they just become another terrorist militia, a construct of which the Lebanese have rightly tired.
Nasrallah knew this. He signaled his approval yesterday of the cease-fire but objected to the arms embargo and the disarming of his organization. Perhaps he thought the Israelis would reject it, but when the Israeli Cabinet adopted it unanimously, it looks like Nasrallah had his bluff called.
Unless Siniora gets this resolution adopted in the next couple of hours, Israel will push past the Litani into Bekaa -- and this time they will have the tacit endorsement of the UN Security Council.
Update 1114: Just was reminded of this quote:
"Palestinians never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity."
— Abba Eban