Lorie Byrd talks about the effect of public perceptions on politics. She is not so sure Republicans are going to be destroyed this November. Neither am I.
I have a question: If the polls suddenly showed an upsurge of support for Bush, would their be one? Which comes first? Reality or perception?
3 comments:
Ethelned the Unready and the KosolaKidzKrewe reduced the race in CT to a single issue and won 52% of the Democrats in one of the more liberaly blue states in the country. If the indies split 52/48 Dem - the Dems are absolutely screwed.
The Dems can push poll 'til Nov. 6 but Nov 7 is the only day that counts and if you followed the Quinnipiac farce polling on Lieberman up until the end the value of any current polls is apparent.
Rick:
Have you noticed that every time Bush gets to 40 on his approval rating he falls back? I know I sound like one of those KosKids myself but I question the timing, or something.
In fact I noticed that with polls across the board, it is weird.
It's not particularly weird - it's just toally dishonnest. The Quinnipiac polling was classic. Lieberman was shown down 13 and then a week later down 6-7 (he actually finished down 4). Unless he was caught in a dead girl/live boy situation there is nothing that could have moved the poll 9 points except it being crooked.
I've been through 38 House seats pretty carefully and I remain confident that the Dems don't have the horses - barring a huge incident. I still don't know how a big successful strike would pay off but the Dems current position is not one that allows them to take advantage of a strike.
Bush's numbers are still tied pretty tightly to the price of gas. Maybe the big oil companies will give him a nice present in October. They can afford to.
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